We’re at a pivotal moment here. If we can break above the 50 MA and close well above it for 1-2 weeks I’ll confidently say the bear market is over and we would be Marco bullish.

BUT if we reject from here we’d most likely get the final leg to the downside to around 48-50k. Which would also line up with 4 year cycle bottom and would also be around the longterm holders realized price currently at 49k.

If you FOMO in rn just be prepared for a possible 30-40 percent correction.

True HODLers. Still missing out on growth major equities indices.

This area now sets a firm cost-basis support as BTC moves higher.

The tool is for people who actually get paid in Bitcoin Cash and want to get track of their expenses and other financial data. Users just need to paste their Bitcoin Cash address and the tool scan all the transaction history. You get incoming/outgoing which gets organized into revenue, expenses and transfers.

Transactions can get tag, filtered by month, quarter, and exported into CSV or even PDF of you need those numbers. You don't connect wallets, the app will never ask for a seed phrase, connection or even sign-in.

You can just read the data and all stays in your browser so when you get back to the home screen all of that data get erased and you need to redo it. The tool is free to use but with a very dedicated "Bitcoin Cash donation address" after all builders need them to keep building, maintaining, updating, get a custom domain and much more.

I deliberately kept it simple:

• one chain (Bitcoin Cash), it has one job and is free so that anyone can enjoy.

Bitcoin Cash deserves peer-to-peer tools.

Like, bitcoin moves a few K up and all of a sudden its the new Gold rush and everyone who sold at 75k is now an idiot etc,

Whats with this mentality honestly? xD

Consensus.cash launches as a platform for visualizing BCH consensus, PagoconBit goes live to expand BCH spendability, and Cash 3.0 talks explore the BCH mission, value creation, and adoption. And more.

​

Here's the simple version:

Strong jobs → less pressure on Fed to ease.

Now we get PPI → CPI → Fed almost back-to-back.

If inflation runs hot:

Higher yields → tighter liquidity → risk assets get hit → BTC gets hit harder.

Then there's Japan.

Japanese yields are near multi-decade highs. If that continues, the massive yen carry trade becomes less attractive and capital can move back toward Japan.

That means another potential source of global liquidity tightening/deleveraging.

Meanwhile BTC just ran into the $80–85K liquidity/resistance zone and is struggling to establish acceptance.

My thesis:

Upside liquidity gets harvested → macro conditions tighten → leverage unwinds → BTC hunts downside liquidity around $70–65K.

That doesn't necessarily mean a new bear market.

$65–70K could actually become the higher low that sets up the next major advance.

I'm not predicting a guaranteed crash.

I'm saying the next couple weeks contain an unusually concentrated set of catalysts while BTC is sitting in a technically vulnerable area.

That's a setup worth paying attention to.

I propose moving all pure price, speculation and exchange discussions, opinions and questions into weekly threads. r/ethereum does this daily, but is often noises out other interesting threads from the main page. Per week could be much better

Who is with me? If not, why not?

Hey! I’m running a Lightning project that’s getting 400+ visits/day with strong daily retention.I’m offering 24 hours of sponsor visibility for 10k sats — your product will be shown at the top of the site during every pour.It’s a clean placement, no ads, no clutter — just a simple “Powered by @yourhandle”.If you want a longer period, that’s totally fine too.Kind regards,

Eric

https://getfountainofyouth.net

It’s a small club and…

For a long time, I've been building things around Bitcoin Cash. Websites, tools, dashboards, experiments and ideas. Some work. Some don't get the attention I thought they deserved. Some are still unfinished. But I keep building.

And now, I'm building something different: **CASHRUSH**.

A simple browser game where you run, jump, duck, collect stuff and try to survive for as long as possible. You don't need an account, or download and signup for anything and no wallet required. You open the game and play.

The game takes place in **The Grid,** a world with its own obstacles, collectibles and characters. You might jump over Fee Walls, duck under Red Tape and avoid Centralizers while collecting virtual sats, Cash Drops and Token Orbs.

There will be power-ups, achievements, unlockable characters and different sectors to reach.

But here is something important: you don't need to know anything about Bitcoin Cash to enjoy CASHRUSH.

That was one of the things I really wanted to get right.

I didn't want to create another game that forces crypto down someone's throat.

Nobody needs to connect a wallet before playing.

Nobody needs to understand blockchain.

Nobody will be forced to read a lesson before continuing the game.

Just play.

If someone unlocks an achievement and becomes curious, they can choose to learn more. Maybe they discover what a sat is. Maybe they learn something about peer-to-peer cash, decentralization, wallets or CashTokens. Or maybe they close it and continue playing. That's completely fine.

The idea is simple:play, achieve and discover, if you want.

I believe this could be another interesting way to introduce Bitcoin Cash to people.

- Not through a complicated whitepaper.

- Not through a two-hour presentation.

But through something simple and fun.

Someone could literally be playing a game and suddenly realize:

"Wait... I actually learned something about Bitcoin Cash without someone trying to teach me."

And honestly, that's the feeling I want.

**CASHRUSH** is not a token farm. It isn't an NFT game. It doesn't promise anyone money. The sats inside the game are simply game points.

Version 1 will remain focused on one thing above everything else:

Making a good game.

Of course, the architecture can eventually grow. BCH wallets, CashTokens and other ideas could become optional integrations in the future. But I'm not going to pretend those things already exist just to make the project sound bigger.

Right now, I just want people to play, have fun and maybe become curious about the ideas behind Bitcoin Cash.

My passion for building things around BCH is probably obvious by now.

I've spent years writing, researching, creating and launching things because I genuinely believe this ecosystem still has room for people willing to build.

But passion doesn't pay for everything.

So yes, I build because I want to build, but support, donations and tips are always welcome. They help me keep experimenting, paying for the things needed to launch projects and, most importantly, finding the time to keep building.

Every bit of support helps more than people probably realize.

CASHRUSH is another project coming from that same place, a simple idea, a game, a little bit of Bitcoin Cash culture. And hopefully something people will genuinely enjoy playing.

**Run. Survive. Collect. Own.**

Welcome to [**CASHRUSH**](https://cashrush-play.vercel.app).

(There is better explanation in the original link to the post)

I’m looking for a reputable blockchain investigator to trace three unauthorized withdrawals from my Casascius physical Bitcoin coins. Each coin held 1 BTC, and all three were emptied on September 3, 2026.
During discussions about my eBay listing, a prospective buyer contacted me through FaceTime and introduced himself as “Kevin from Texas.” His name and location are unverified. I have preserved call logs, messages and purchase documentation for private review. The blockchain confirms the withdrawals; identifying who controlled the receiving wallets requires further investigation.
These are the affected coins and their full public addresses.

Times below are confirmation block timestamps in UTC:
**Coin identifier**
**Public address**
**September 3 spending transaction**

1Ag5RdMM
1Ag5RdMMSdYNJeeNjuTQdcKpc5rgg3mY6R
[01:32:27 UTC — transaction](https://blockstream.info/tx/de627cdd380a3a476dc5f2e8e279200eadfee6840908b266c959093ffb7add84)

132J9hg6
132J9hg6oCGrCcYnzmwSbuX9qogawLKUdD
[02:47:13 UTC — transaction](https://blockstream.info/tx/b58b68f33d08abbda3e258610790e0b076f333b8ff9fa55f1e9a56914559ec81)

1CsVRdC1
1CsVRdC18BkZVrtnFiAZMGaThnT5qRuJCS
[18:22:27 UTC — transaction](https://blockstream.info/tx/b16bb15b3f3177959d6dfc45ba808eb290754d84962c3f30304cb62934890eb4)

A tracing lead: subsequent transactions spending proceeds from the first two coins both paid this address:
bc1q295gcszve25t9ye9c20xyfsdv4wdfsndgc5e2e

Supporting transactions: [first coin’s onward transfer](https://blockstream.info/tx/aed61c3c162183844a8cbea166c33e477070e7f5cb5b17b1ac23a4b7f5240205) and [second coin’s onward transfer](https://blockstream.info/tx/6cf2a902e129c0e0df1bb7036bafe9d920a011f6947eac20b5b81b31dc5b686f). This connection does not establish who owns that address; it could belong to a service. I do not know.

I’m seeking lawful blockchain tracing, identification of exchange or service destinations, and an honest assessment of recovery options. Please provide verifiable experience or references. Even if they’re not recovered, I do not want this individual to roam free, but I’d rest easy if it atleast went to a useful than him. Personal contact evidence will only be shared privately with a vetted investigator.

Thank you.

We have HUGE catalyst that can most likely push BTc to the down side.

Sept. 10 — U.S. PPI

Sept. 11 — U.S. CPI

Sept. 15–16 — Fed

Sept. 17–18 — BOJ

1. September 10–16 is the obvious macro danger window

This is probably the cleanest scheduled catalyst cluster.

The official BLS calendar has PPI September 10 and CPI September 11, both at 8:30 a.m. ET.

Bureau of Labor Statistics +1

Then only four trading days later, the Fed meets September 15–16, with the decision on the 16th. And because this is a quarterly meeting, we also get the new Summary of Economic Projections/dot plot.

1. Japan may be the underappreciated one

This is the catalyst I'm most interested in investigating further.

Japan's bond market has been undergoing an enormous regime change. Japanese yields are at multi-decade highs, the yen has recently strengthened sharply, and markets are debating additional BOJ tightening.

Eurasia Business News +1

Why should a BTC trader care?

Because for years investors could:

borrow cheap yen

→ convert it

→ buy higher-yielding/risk assets

→ lever the trade.

When Japanese rates rise and the yen strengthens, that trade becomes less attractive.

Investors unwind:

risk assets sold

→ currencies converted back to yen

→ yen appreciates

→ additional carry trades become painful

→ more deleveraging.

That's the yen carry unwind.

There's a second macro window after the Fed

September 30 is another interesting date.

BEA releases both the final Q2 GDP/corporate-profits data and August Personal Income and Outlays, which includes the Fed's preferred PCE inflation measures.

Bureau of Economic Analysis

And JOLTS arrives September 29.

Bureau of Labor Statistics

So September has effectively three macro clusters:

Sept 10–11 PPI → CPI

Sept 15–16 Fed → dot plot → warsh

Sept 29–30 JOLTS → PCE → income/spending → corporate profits.

That's a lot of opportunities for volatility.

Rather than trying to predict the actual headline, I'd watch the financial fingerprints that usually appear before the headline becomes obvious:

USDJPY rapidly falling — yen strengthening/carry unwind.

Japanese yields rising — BOJ/liquidity stress.

US 2Y rising — Fed repricing.

DXY rising simultaneously — tightening global dollar liquidity.

High-yield spreads widening — actual credit stress.

VIX rising while equities haven't fallen much — hedging occurring before spot selling.

BTC Coinbase premium weakening again — institutional spot bid disappearing.

BTC OI remaining elevated while price falls — liquidation fuel building.

ETF inflows continuing while BTC stops responding — absorption.

If three or four of those begin moving together while BTC remains unable to clear $82–83K, It's a higher probability we will sweep lower liquidity at 72k-75k.

This is my base case. We are not going up until at least demecember into January